Alabama vs. Arkansas State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 8

Published 7:29 pm Thursday, November 7, 2024

Friday’s contest between the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0) and Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-0) matching up at Coleman Coliseum has a projected final score of 81-78 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will start at 8:00 PM ET on November 8.

According to our computer prediction, Arkansas State projects to cover the 21.5-point spread in its matchup versus Alabama. The over/under is listed at 165.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Alabama vs. Arkansas State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, November 8, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network+
  • Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Venue: Coleman Coliseum
  • Line: Alabama -21.5
  • Point total: 165.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alabama -4545, Arkansas State +1600

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Alabama vs. Arkansas State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama 81, Arkansas State 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Arkansas State

  • Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+21.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (165.5)

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Alabama Performance Insights

  • Last season, Alabama was best in the nation on offense (90.1 points scored per game) but third-worst defensively (81.2 points conceded).
  • The Crimson Tide were the 25th-best squad in the nation in rebounds per game (36.0) and ranked 205th in rebounds conceded (32.0) last season.
  • Alabama was 37th in college basketball in assists (15.7 per game) last season.
  • The Crimson Tide were the second-best squad in the country in 3-pointers made (11.2 per game) and 20th-best in 3-point percentage (37.3%) last year.
  • Defensively, Alabama was 204th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 7.5 last season. It was 64th in 3-point percentage allowed at 31.7%.
  • Alabama attempted 46.5% percent of its shots from beyond the arc last season, and 36.4% of its made shots are from there. Inside the arc, it attempted 53.5% of its shots, with 63.6% of its makes coming from there.

Arkansas State Performance Insights

  • Offensively, Arkansas State put up 78.8 points per game (52nd-ranked in college basketball) last season. It ceded 77.0 points per contest on defense (313th-ranked).
  • Last year the Red Wolves averaged 35.4 rebounds per game (43rd-ranked in college basketball) and ceded 31.9 rebounds per contest (197th-ranked).
  • Arkansas State put up 14.5 dimes per game, which ranked them 93rd in the country.
  • With 10.6 turnovers per game, the Red Wolves were 114th in the country. They forced 9.6 turnovers per contest, which ranked 323rd in college basketball.
  • The Red Wolves ranked 32nd in the country with 9.2 treys per game last season. Meanwhile, they ranked 156th with a 34.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc.
  • Arkansas State ranked 13th-best in the nation by giving up 5.7 three-pointers per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, it ranked 285th in college basketball at 35.2%.
  • In terms of shot breakdown, Arkansas State took 57.2% two-pointers (accounting for 66.6% of the team’s buckets) and 42.8% threes (33.4%).

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