Alabama vs. South Dakota State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 29

Published 2:28 pm Saturday, December 28, 2024

Sunday’s contest at Coleman Coliseum has the No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide (10-2) matching up with the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (9-5) at 3:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a one-sided 85-72 win, as our model heavily favors Alabama.

Based on our computer prediction, South Dakota State is projected to cover the spread (20.5) versus Alabama. The two teams are projected to come in below the 169.5 over/under.

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Alabama vs. South Dakota State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network+
  • Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Venue: Coleman Coliseum
  • Line: Alabama -20.5
  • Point total: 169.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alabama -4545, South Dakota State +1600

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Alabama vs. South Dakota State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama 85, South Dakota State 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. South Dakota State

  • Pick ATS: South Dakota State (+20.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (169.5)

Alabama’s record against the spread so far this season is 5-7-0, and South Dakota State’s is 6-5-0. The Crimson Tide have a 6-6-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Jackrabbits have a record of 5-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score 166.3 points per game combined, 3.2 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.

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Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Crimson Tide are outscoring opponents by 11.9 points per game with a +142 scoring differential overall. They put up 88.7 points per game (fourth in college basketball) and give up 76.8 per contest (311th in college basketball).
  • Alabama wins the rebound battle by 9.6 boards on average. It collects 41.4 rebounds per game, which ranks third in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.8 per outing.
  • Alabama knocks down 9.7 three-pointers per game (47th in college basketball), 2.8 more than its opponents (6.9). It is shooting 31.3% from beyond the arc (288th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 28.0%.
  • The Crimson Tide rank 70th in college basketball by averaging 102.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 135th in college basketball, allowing 88.6 points per 100 possessions.
  • Alabama has lost the turnover battle by 2.3 turnovers per game, committing 12.5 (263rd in college basketball play) while forcing 10.2 (313th in college basketball).

South Dakota State Performance Insights

  • The Jackrabbits outscore opponents by 9.0 points per game (posting 77.6 points per game, 137th in college basketball, and conceding 68.6 per outing, 111th in college basketball) and have a +125 scoring differential.
  • South Dakota State pulls down 36.8 rebounds per game (35th in college basketball) while conceding 28.1 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.7 boards per game.
  • South Dakota State connects on 8.7 three-pointers per game (115th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.6 on average.
  • South Dakota State and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Jackrabbits commit 11.4 per game (172nd in college basketball) and force 10.7 (285th in college basketball).

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