Saturday’s contest at Freedom Hall Civic Center has the Samford Bulldogs (19-5, 9-2 SoCon) going head to head against the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (14-10, 7-4 SoCon) at 4:00 PM ET (on February 8). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 75-74 win for Samford, so it should be a tight matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, East Tennessee State projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Samford. The over/under is listed at 149.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Samford vs. East Tennessee State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 8, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Johnson City, Tennessee
• Venue: Freedom Hall Civic Center
• Line: Samford -1.5
• Point total: 149.5
• Moneyline (to win): Samford -114, East Tennessee State -105

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Samford vs. East Tennessee State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Samford 75, East Tennessee State 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Samford vs. East Tennessee State

• Pick ATS: East Tennessee State (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (149.5)

Samford has compiled a 12-10-0 record against the spread this season, while East Tennessee State is 10-11-0. The Bulldogs have hit the over in eight games, while Buccaneers games have gone over nine times. The teams combine to score 157.7 points per game, 8.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Samford has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over the past 10 contests. East Tennessee State has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Samford Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 11.4 points per game (scoring 84.4 points per game to rank 12th in college basketball while giving up 73 per contest to rank 231st in college basketball) and have a +274 scoring differential overall.
• Samford is 188th in college basketball at 32.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.6 its opponents average.
• Samford hits 3.4 more threes per contest than the opposition, 11.3 (third-most in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.9.
• The Bulldogs’ 102.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 44th in college basketball, and the 88.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 78th in college basketball.
• Samford wins the turnover battle by 2.3 per game, committing 12.8 (307th in college basketball) while its opponents average 15.1.

East Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Buccaneers outscore opponents by 6.5 points per game (posting 73.3 points per game, 209th in college basketball, and conceding 66.8 per outing, 52nd in college basketball) and have a +157 scoring differential.
• East Tennessee State wins the rebound battle by four boards on average. It records 34.6 rebounds per game, 62nd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.6.
• East Tennessee State hits 2.0 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.8 (87th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8.
• East Tennessee State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10.3 per game (82nd in college basketball) while forcing 12.6 (95th in college basketball).

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