Sunday’s contest between the No. 23 Alabama Crimson Tide (19-5) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-7) going head to head at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 71-68 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, so it should be a tight matchup. The game will begin at 2:00 PM ET on February 9.

According to our computer prediction, Mississippi State projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama. The over/under has been set at 141.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, February 9, 2025
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Alabama -2.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama -145, Mississippi State +120

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 71, Mississippi State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (141.5)

Alabama is 10-7-0 against the spread, while Mississippi State’s ATS record this season is 2-6-0. The Crimson Tide are 7-10-0 and the Bulldogs are 4-4-0 in terms of going over the point total. The two teams score 155.7 points per game, 14.2 more points than this matchup’s total. Alabama has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over the last 10 games. Mississippi State has gone 2-6 against the spread and 2-6 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide’s +424 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 17.6 points per game) is a result of scoring 78.4 points per game (26th in college basketball) while allowing 60.8 per outing (101st in college basketball).
• Alabama wins the rebound battle by 4.1 boards on average. It collects 35 rebounds per game, which ranks 71st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.9 per outing.
• Alabama hits 3.3 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.5 (25th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.2.
• The Crimson Tide’s 94.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 35th in college basketball, and the 73.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 44th in college basketball.
• Alabama wins the turnover battle by 2.9 per game, committing 13.7 (70th in college basketball) while its opponents average 16.6.

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +371 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 77.3 points per game (33rd in college basketball) while allowing 61.8 per outing (121st in college basketball).
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 9.9 boards on average. It collects 38.5 rebounds per game, eighth in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.6.
• Mississippi State hits 7 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball) at a 33.5% rate (89th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 its opponents make, shooting 29.8% from beyond the arc.
• Mississippi State forces 16.1 turnovers per game (149th in college basketball) while committing 16.5 (246th in college basketball).

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