Tuesday’s contest at Moody Center has the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (20-3, 9-1 SEC) taking on the Texas Longhorns (15-9, 4-7 SEC) at 9:00 PM (on February 11). Our computer prediction projects a 81-76 victory for Alabama, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama projects to cover the 4.5-point spread in its matchup versus Texas. The over/under is currently listed at 165.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Alabama vs. Texas Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Austin, Texas
• Venue: Moody Center
• Line: Alabama -4.5
• Point total: 165.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama -196, Texas +162

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Alabama vs. Texas Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 81, Texas 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Texas

• Pick ATS: Alabama (-4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (165.5)

Alabama has compiled a 13-10-0 record against the spread this season, while Texas is 13-11-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Crimson Tide are 13-10-0 and the Longhorns are 14-10-0. The two teams average 168.5 points per game, 3.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Alabama is 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its past 10 games, while Texas has gone 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide are outscoring opponents by 11.6 points per game with a +266 scoring differential overall. They put up 90.0 points per game (first in college basketball) and allow 78.4 per contest (330th in college basketball).
• Alabama wins the rebound battle by 7.7 boards on average. It records 40.4 rebounds per game, which ranks third in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.7 per contest.
• Alabama makes 10.0 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball), 3.2 more than its opponents (6.8). It is shooting 33.4% from beyond the arc (215th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 29.0%.
• The Crimson Tide rank 31st in college basketball by averaging 103.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 117th in college basketball, allowing 89.9 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.6 per game (295th in college basketball action) while forcing 10.2 (301st in college basketball).

Texas Performance Insights

• The Longhorns put up 78.5 points per game (77th in college basketball) while allowing 67.5 per contest (61st in college basketball). They have a +264 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 11.0 points per game.
• Texas wins the rebound battle by 2.7 boards on average. It records 33.0 rebounds per game, 134th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 30.3.
• Texas hits 1.1 more threes per game than the opposition, 7.7 (178th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
• Texas wins the turnover battle by 1.9 per game, committing 9.2 (17th in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.1.

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