Alabama vs. Missouri Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 19
Published 6:28 pm Tuesday, February 18, 2025
Wednesday’s contest at Mizzou Arena has the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (21-4, 10-2 SEC) matching up with the No. 15 Missouri Tigers (19-6, 8-4 SEC) at 9:00 PM ET (on February 19). Our computer prediction projects a close 82-79 win for Alabama, so expect a competitive matchup.
According to our computer prediction, Alabama should cover the spread, which currently sits at 1.5. The two sides are projected to come in below the 170.5 total.
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Alabama vs. Missouri Game Info & Odds
- Date: Wednesday, February 19, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: SEC Network
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Columbia, Missouri
- Venue: Mizzou Arena
- Line: Alabama -1.5
- Point total: 170.5
- Moneyline (to win): Alabama -120, Missouri +100
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Alabama vs. Missouri Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Alabama 82, Missouri 79
Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Missouri
- Pick ATS: Alabama (-1.5)
- Pick OU: Under (170.5)
Alabama has compiled a 14-11-0 record against the spread this season, while Missouri is 15-9-0. A total of 15 out of the Crimson Tide’s games this season have hit the over, and 12 of the Tigers’ games have gone over. The two teams combine to score 172.9 points per game, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Alabama has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in the last 10 contests. Missouri has gone 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 contests.
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Alabama Performance Insights
- The Crimson Tide average 90.3 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 79.1 per contest (337th in college basketball). They have a +280 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 11.2 points per game.
- Alabama wins the rebound battle by 7.9 boards on average. It records 40.4 rebounds per game, which ranks second in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.5 per outing.
- Alabama hits 10.0 three-pointers per game (25th in college basketball), 3.0 more than its opponents (7.0). It is shooting 33.9% from deep (183rd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 29.8%.
- The Crimson Tide rank 27th in college basketball by averaging 103.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 129th in college basketball, allowing 91.0 points per 100 possessions.
- Alabama has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.4 per game (281st in college basketball action) while forcing 9.8 (325th in college basketball).
Missouri Performance Insights
- The Tigers put up 82.6 points per game (20th in college basketball) while allowing 69.0 per outing (95th in college basketball). They have a +341 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 13.6 points per game.
- Missouri wins the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. It collects 31.9 rebounds per game, 189th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.8.
- Missouri connects on 8.8 three-pointers per game (78th in college basketball), 1.6 more than its opponents.
- Missouri has won the turnover battle by 3.7 per game, committing 10.2 (75th in college basketball) while forcing 13.9 (28th in college basketball).
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