Missouri vs. Alabama Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 19
Published 6:28 pm Tuesday, February 18, 2025
Wednesday’s contest between the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (21-4, 10-2 SEC) and No. 15 Missouri Tigers (19-6, 8-4 SEC) going head to head at Mizzou Arena has a projected final score of 82-79 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Alabama, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will tip off at 9:00 PM ET on February 19.
According to our computer prediction, Alabama projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup against Missouri. The over/under is currently listed at 170.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.
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Missouri vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds
- Date: Wednesday, February 19, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: SEC Network
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Columbia, Missouri
- Venue: Mizzou Arena
- Line: Missouri -1.5
- Point total: 170.5
- Moneyline (to win): Missouri -111, Alabama -108
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Missouri vs. Alabama Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Alabama 82, Missouri 79
Spread & Total Prediction for Missouri vs. Alabama
- Pick ATS: Alabama (+1.5)
- Pick OU: Under (170.5)
Missouri is 15-9-0 against the spread this season compared to Alabama’s 14-11-0 ATS record. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Tigers are 12-12-0 and the Crimson Tide are 15-10-0. The two teams average 172.9 points per game, 2.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Missouri is 8-2 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 games, while Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall.
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Missouri Performance Insights
- The Tigers have a +341 scoring differential, topping opponents by 13.6 points per game. They’re putting up 82.6 points per game to rank 20th in college basketball and are allowing 69.0 per contest to rank 95th in college basketball.
- Missouri is 188th in college basketball at 31.9 rebounds per game. That’s 2.1 more than the 29.8 its opponents average.
- Missouri knocks down 8.8 three-pointers per game (77th in college basketball) at a 37.1% rate (44th in college basketball), compared to the 7.2 per game its opponents make at a 33.6% rate.
- The Tigers rank 12th in college basketball by averaging 106.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 81st in college basketball, allowing 88.6 points per 100 possessions.
- Missouri has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.2 per game (75th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.9 (28th in college basketball).
Alabama Performance Insights
- The Crimson Tide have a +280 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.2 points per game. They’re putting up 90.3 points per game, first in college basketball, and are allowing 79.1 per outing to rank 337th in college basketball.
- Alabama averages 40.4 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while conceding 32.5 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 7.9 boards per game.
- Alabama hits 10.0 three-pointers per game (25th in college basketball), 3.0 more than its opponents. It shoots 33.9% from deep (183rd in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 29.8%.
- Alabama has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.4 per game (281st in college basketball) while forcing 9.8 (325th in college basketball).
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