Saturday’s contest at Coleman Coliseum has the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (21-5, 10-3 SEC) taking on the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (18-8, 7-6 SEC) at 6:00 PM (on February 22). Our computer prediction projects a 86-80 win for Alabama, who is a small favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 7.5-point spread in its matchup versus Alabama. The over/under is listed at 177.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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Alabama vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 22, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
• Venue: Coleman Coliseum
• Line: Alabama -7.5
• Point total: 177.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama -330, Kentucky +260

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Alabama vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 86, Kentucky 80

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+7.5)
• Pick OU: Under (177.5)

Both Alabama and Kentucky are 14-12-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Crimson Tide have a 16-10-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 14-12-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 176.4 points per game combined, 1.1 less than this matchup’s over/under. Alabama is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 games, while Kentucky has gone 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide’s +268 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 10.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 90.6 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 80.3 per contest (349th in college basketball).
• Alabama grabs 39.9 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while allowing 32.3 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 7.6 boards per game.
• Alabama knocks down 10.2 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) at a 34.2% rate (166th in college basketball), compared to the 7.1 per game its opponents make at a 30.2% rate.
• The Crimson Tide rank 23rd in college basketball by averaging 104.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 157th in college basketball, allowing 92.4 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama has come up short in the turnover battle by 2.7 turnovers per game, committing 12.5 (289th in college basketball action) while forcing 9.8 (327th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats put up 85.8 points per game (third in college basketball) while allowing 75.7 per contest (289th in college basketball). They have a +262 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 10.1 points per game.
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 3.2 boards on average. It records 35.1 rebounds per game, 43rd in college basketball, while its opponents grab 31.9.
• Kentucky connects on 10.0 three-pointers per game (26th in college basketball) while shooting 38.0% from beyond the arc (21st in college basketball). It is making 1.9 more threes than its opponents, who drain 8.1 per game at 29.0%.
• Kentucky and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 10.0 per game (60th in college basketball) and force 9.3 (339th in college basketball).

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