Alabama vs. Mississippi State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 25

Published 2:28 pm Monday, February 24, 2025

Tuesday’s game between the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (22-5, 11-3 SEC) and the No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-8, 7-7 SEC) at Coleman Coliseum has a good chance to be a lopsided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 86-76 and heavily favors Alabama to come out on top. Tipoff is at 9:00 PM ET on February 25.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama should cover the point spread, which currently sits at 8.5. The two teams are projected to fall short of the 169.5 over/under.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
  • Venue: Coleman Coliseum
  • Line: Alabama -8.5
  • Point total: 169.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Alabama -365, Mississippi State +285

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Alabama 86, Mississippi State 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Mississippi State

  • Pick ATS: Alabama (-8.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (169.5)

Alabama has a 15-12-0 record against the spread this season compared to Mississippi State, who is 12-15-0 ATS. A total of 16 out of the Crimson Tide’s games this season have hit the over, and 15 of the Bulldogs’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 170.1 points per game, 0.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Alabama is 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 games, while Mississippi State has gone 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Crimson Tide average 90.8 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 80.4 per outing (350th in college basketball). They have a +281 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 10.4 points per game.
  • Alabama grabs 39.8 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while allowing 32.3 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 7.5 boards per game.
  • Alabama hits 10.2 three-pointers per game (20th in college basketball), 3.0 more than its opponents (7.2).
  • The Crimson Tide average 104.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (20th in college basketball), and give up 92.5 points per 100 possessions (160th in college basketball).
  • Alabama has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.6 per game (301st in college basketball action) while forcing 9.9 (320th in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs put up 79.3 points per game (57th in college basketball) while giving up 71.9 per contest (184th in college basketball). They have a +200 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 7.4 points per game.
  • Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by an average of 3.8 boards. It records 35.9 rebounds per game (25th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.1.
  • Mississippi State hits 8.4 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.9 on average.
  • Mississippi State has won the turnover battle by 2.7 per game, committing 10.2 (77th in college basketball) while forcing 12.9 (64th in college basketball).

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