Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 24

Published 6:16 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) are 1.5-point underdogs as they look to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena. The game airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Hawks 115 – Heat 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Hawks (-2.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (227.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 228.8
  • The Hawks’ .474 ATS win percentage (27-30-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Heat’s .455 mark (25-30-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
  • As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Atlanta is 22-15 against the spread compared to the 15-15 ATS record Miami racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
  • When it comes to topping the point total in 2024-25, Atlanta and its opponents are more successful (57.9% of the time) than Miami and its opponents (54.5%).
  • The Heat have a .581 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (18-13) this season while the Hawks have a .447 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (17-21).

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Heat Performance Insights

  • The Heat are posting 110.1 points per game (24th-ranked in NBA) this year, while surrendering 110.9 points per contest (eighth-ranked).
  • This season, Miami is averaging 44.1 rebounds per game (17th-ranked in NBA) and allowing 45.6 rebounds per contest (24th-ranked).
  • This season, the Heat rank 16th in the league in assists, putting up 26.1 per game.
  • Miami is forcing 12.5 turnovers per game this season (24th-ranked in NBA), but it has committed just 12.6 turnovers per contest (fifth-best).
  • This year, the Heat are sinking 13.9 treys per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 35.9% (15th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • On offense the Hawks are the seventh-ranked team in the NBA (117 points per game). On defense they are third-worst (119.6 points allowed per game).
  • On the boards, Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounds (45 per game). It is 20th in rebounds conceded (44.7 per game).
  • The Hawks are second-best in the league in assists (29.3 per game) in 2024-25.
  • In 2024-25, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the NBA in turnovers committed (15 per game) but second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • The Hawks are 15th in the league in 3-pointers made (13.1 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (35%).

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