NBA Best Bets: Hawks vs. Heat Picks for February 24

Published 4:33 am Monday, February 24, 2025

The Atlanta Hawks (26-31) will attempt to halt a three-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (26-29) on Monday, February 24, 2025 at State Farm Arena as just 1.5-point favorites. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on FDSSE and FDSSUN.

Our computer predictions for Monday’s game will assist you in making an informed wager utilizing the best bets out there.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

  • When: Monday, February 24, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Hawks vs. Heat Best Bets

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Trae Young Over 28.5 PTS

  • The 28.5 points prop bet over/under set for Trae Young on Monday is 4.3 more than his season scoring average (24.2).
  • Young is 27-for-53 at scoring more than his points prop total this season.
  • The Hawks are the NBA’s seventh-ranked scoring squad (117 points per game), while the Heat are eighth in points conceded (110.9 per game).
  • Atlanta is 22-18 when putting up more points than 110.9.

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Tyler Herro Over 26.5 PTS

  • Tyler Herro is averaging 24.2 points during the 2024-25 season, 2.3 less than Monday’s over/under.
  • Herro has gone over 29 times on a points prop this season (in 53 opportunities).
  • The 24th-ranked scoring NBA team (110.1 points per game) is Miami, while Atlanta ranks 28th in the league defensively (119.6 conceded per game).
  • When scoring more points than 119.6, Miami is 9-4.

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Pick ATS: Hawks (- 1.5)

  • Atlanta has 27 wins in 57 games against the spread this year.
  • Miami has 25 wins in 55 games against the spread this year.
  • The Hawks have an ATS record of 5-15 as 1.5-point favorites or greater.
  • As 1.5-point underdogs or more, the Heat are 10-15 against the spread.

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Pick OU:

Under (230.5)

  • In 36 games this season, the Hawks and their opponents have scored more than 230.5 total points.
  • The Heat have played 21 games this season that ended with a combined score over 230.5 points.
  • Atlanta’s contests this year have an average point total of 234.7, 4.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • The average over/under for Miami’s outings this season is 219.2, 11.3 fewer points than this game’s point total.
  • The Hawks score the seventh-most points in the league this season, while the Heat’s offense racks up the 27th-most.
  • The Heat have allowed the third-fewest points in the league this season, while the Hawks have given up the 29th-fewest.

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Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-120)

  • This season, the Hawks have won nine out of the 19 games, or 47.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • The Heat have come away with eight wins in the 24 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Atlanta has a record of 9-10, a 47.4% win rate, when it’s favored by -120 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • This season, Miami has come away with a win six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Hawks have a 54.5% chance to win.

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