Saturday’s game that pits the No. 5 Tennessee Volunteers (23-5, 10-5 SEC) against the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (23-5, 12-3 SEC) at Thompson-Boling Arena is expected to be a close matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 77-76 in favor of Tennessee. Game time is at 4 p.m. ET on March 1.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup against Tennessee. The over/under is listed at 155.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -3.5
• Point total: 155.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -170, Alabama +140

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Tennessee vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 77, Alabama 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (155.5)

Both Tennessee and Alabama are 16-12-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. A total of 11 out of the Volunteers’ games this season have hit the over, and 17 of the Crimson Tide’s games have gone over. The teams average 165.8 points per game, 10.3 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Tennessee is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall while Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers outscore opponents by 13.5 points per game (scoring 74.3 points per game to rank 171st in college basketball while allowing 60.8 per outing to rank fifth in college basketball) and have a +380 scoring differential overall.
• The 34.5 rebounds per game Tennessee averages rank 59th in the nation, and are 7.6 more than the 26.9 its opponents pull down per contest.
• Tennessee hits 1.3 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.5 (95th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2.
• The Volunteers record 100.0 points per 100 possessions (79th in college basketball), while giving up 81.8 points per 100 possessions (fourth in college basketball).
• Tennessee has committed 1.3 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.9 (50th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.2 (201st in college basketball).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide’s +319 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 91.5 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 80.1 per outing (348th in college basketball).
• Alabama ranks second in the country at 39.8 rebounds per game. That’s 7.3 more than the 32.5 its opponents average.
• Alabama connects on 3.5 more threes per game than the opposition, 10.6 (11th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.1.
• Alabama has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.5 per game (295th in college basketball) while forcing 10.0 (312th in college basketball).

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