Sunday’s contest at Lloyd Noble Center has the No. 13 Oklahoma Sooners (22-6) squaring off against the No. 20 Alabama Crimson Tide (23-6) at 2:30 p.m. (on March 2). Our computer prediction projects a 76-71 victory for Oklahoma, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the spread (5.5) against Oklahoma. The two sides are expected to go under the 153.5 over/under.

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Oklahoma vs. Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025
• Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Norman, Oklahoma
• Venue: Lloyd Noble Center
• Line: Oklahoma -5.5
• Point total: 153.5
• Moneyline (to win): Oklahoma -225, Alabama +185

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Oklahoma vs. Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Oklahoma 76, Alabama 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Oklahoma vs. Alabama

• Pick ATS: Alabama (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (153.5)

Oklahoma is 11-10-0 against the spread, while Alabama’s ATS record this season is 13-7-0. The Sooners have a 7-14-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Crimson Tide have a record of 8-12-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 165.3 points per game, 11.8 more points than this matchup’s total. Oklahoma is 5-5 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 contests, while Alabama has gone 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Oklahoma Performance Insights

• The Sooners have a +507 scoring differential, topping opponents by 18.1 points per game. They’re putting up 86.5 points per game to rank fifth in college basketball and are allowing 68.4 per outing to rank 276th in college basketball.
• Oklahoma wins the rebound battle by 13.0 boards on average. It records 42.3 rebounds per game, which ranks third in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.3 per outing.
• Oklahoma connects on 1.9 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.5 (25th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
• The Sooners rank 37th in college basketball by averaging 93.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 49th in college basketball, allowing 74.3 points per 100 possessions.
• Oklahoma has lost the turnover battle by 1.9 turnovers per game, committing 18.7 (343rd in college basketball play) while forcing 16.8 (95th in college basketball).

Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide outscore opponents by 17.1 points per game (posting 78.8 points per game, 20th in college basketball, and allowing 61.7 per outing, 111th in college basketball) and have a +494 scoring differential.
• Alabama averages 34.5 rebounds per game (73rd in college basketball) while conceding 30.6 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.9 boards per game.
• Alabama makes 8.7 three-pointers per game (21st in college basketball), 3.8 more than its opponents. It shoots 38.9% from deep (third-best in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 27.8%.
• Alabama has committed 13.8 turnovers per game (79th in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than the 16.2 it forces (129th in college basketball).

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