UPDATE: County’s COVID-19 daily case count on slight downward trend

By ALEC ETHEREDGE | Managing Editor

 With 1,869 new confirmed COVID-19 cases in the last two weeks according to the Alabama Department of Public Health, the number of new cases continues to be on a steep rise, but the number of daily positive cases has hit a recent downward trend.

In previous weeks, there have been 80-plus positive cases per day on a consistent basis in Shelby County. But during the last two weeks, dating back to 91 cases on July 15, the number of new confirmed cases has decreased from the previous day eight times.

There have been three days with 80-plus cases and two others with 70-plus cases, but there has been less than 70 new cases nine of the last 14 days.

Shelby County’s daily case count last 14 days

That’s still a far cry from the seeing weekly totals at those numbers or lower during the first three months of the county’s battle against the virus, but it marks an improvement from previous weeks.

A big reason for the decrease has come in the last week with all of the days with less than 70 cases coming between Sunday, July 19, and Tuesday, July 28. Over the last three days, there have been 43, 50 and 38 new cases, respectively.

Currently, the county’s COVID-19 case count sits at 2,726 as of Tuesday, July 28, which marks an increase of 857 the last two weeks for an average of 428.5 cases per week. That marks the third week in a row the number of new cases has sat near the 430 mark.

So far, there have been 29,703 tests administered in Shelby County, 7,617 of which have been in the last week.

That means 9.2 percent of those tested have tested positive for COVID-19, while 13 percent of the county’s population has been tested and 1.25 percent of the county’s population has tested positive. During the last two weeks, 13.6 of those tested have tested positive.

The county has also been downgraded from “very high risk” to “high risk” on the ADPH’s risk category dashboard, while also having one of the lowest confirmed rates per 100,000 residents.

The county’s death total according to the ADPH is at 29 with one probable death, while the Shelby County Coroner confirmed 32 deaths two weeks ago.

As for the state, the confirmed COVID-19 case count has risen to 80,309, which is an increase of 22,505 in the last two weeks.

With 657,746 people tested across the state since the outbreak began back on March 13, 12.2 percent of those tested have tested positive, while 13.6 percent of the state’s population has been tested and 1.6 percent of the state’s population has tested positive.

There have been 1,446 confirmed deaths across the state, making the virus’ survival rate 98.2 percent.

Of those who have died from the virus, 77.7 percent have been 65 or older, while 17.6 percent have been between the ages of 50 and 64, meaning those 50 and older make up 95.3 percent of all deaths with 4.4 percent coming in the age range of 25-40.

Those numbers despite the majority of cases coming in those between the ages of 25 and 49. That age range makes up 40.98 percent of all cases, while those between the ages of 5 and 24 make up 20.16 percent and those between 50 and 64 make up 20.18 percent. Those 65 and older make up 16.44 percent of all cases.

Since the outbreak began, there have been 9,694 hospitalizations with 1,094 placed in the intensive care unit and 584 on ventilators.

There have also been 5,126 healthcare workers contract the virus, while 3,642 long-term care residents and 2,106 long-term care employees have had a confirmed case.